Check this page for the Daily Lobo's updated testing and confirmed case data for the COVID-19 outbreak in New Mexico, thanks to the COVID Tracking Project. This page will be updated daily as more data is produced and reported.

As of December 1, the NMDOH has reported 99,419 confirmed COVID-19 cases in New Mexico, including 1,589 deaths and 33,458 recoveries.

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Mapping the outbreak in New Mexico






 


The 'curve' in NM's counties

Here, the 'curve' is shown as the rolling seven-day average of new cases reported in each county, adjusted for population. The steeper the line, the more rapidly cases are being reported. A shallower, flatter line might suggest that the individual counties might be flattening their respective curves and mitigating the outbreak.





As of December 1, the New Mexico counties with confirmed COVID-19 cases are:
Bernalillo County: 27678 cases (8067 recoveries, 342 deaths)
Catron County: 37 cases (8 recoveries, 1 death)
Chaves County: 4844 cases (1577 recoveries, 43 deaths)
Cibola County: 1692 cases (583 recoveries, 44 deaths)
Colfax County: 246 cases (42 recoveries, 5 deaths)
Curry County: 3243 cases (1176 recoveries, 25 deaths)
Doña Ana County: 13684 cases (4536 recoveries, 191 deaths)
Eddy County: 3029 cases (1102 recoveries, 44 deaths)
Grant County: 513 cases (164 recoveries, 7 deaths)
Guadalupe County: 139 cases (36 recoveries, 2 deaths)
Harding County: 6 cases (1 recovery, 0 deaths)
Hidalgo County: 187 cases (111 recoveries, 4 deaths)
Lea County: 4399 cases (1733 recoveries, 48 deaths)
Lincoln County: 790 cases (279 recoveries, 8 deaths)
Los Alamos County: 155 cases (40 recoveries, 0 deaths)
Luna County: 1976 cases (557 recoveries, 27 deaths)
McKinley County: 7225 cases (4149 recoveries, 280 deaths)
Otero County: 1493 cases (313 recoveries, 27 deaths)
Quay County: 254 cases (80 recoveries, 5 deaths)
Rio Arriba County: 1364 cases (433 recoveries, 23 deaths)
Roosevelt County: 1015 cases (356 recoveries, 15 deaths)
Sandoval County: 5394 cases (1865 recoveries, 81 deaths)
San Juan County: 6155 cases (3436 recoveries, 240 deaths)
San Miguel County: 439 cases (134 recoveries, 2 deaths)
Santa Fe County: 5341 cases (1321 recoveries, 36 deaths)
Sierra County: 345 cases (73 recoveries, 6 deaths)
Socorro County: 640 cases (237 recoveries, 27 deaths)
Taos County: 851 cases (176 recoveries, 23 deaths)
Torrance County: 324 cases (99 recoveries, 2 deaths)
Union County: 113 cases (29 recoveries, 4 deaths)
Valencia County: 3132 cases (734 recoveries, 27 deaths)

In addition, the NMDOH recently began reporting case totals from various prisons and holding centers independently from the counties where they reside. These cases include:

1049 cases in federal agencies:
Cibola County Correctional Center: 385 cases
Otero County Prison Facility: 426 cases
Otero County Processing Center: 194 cases
Torrance County Detention Facility: 44 cases


1587 cases in New Mexico Corrections Department agencies:
Central New Mexico Correctional Facility in Valencia County: 205 cases
Guadalupe County Correctional Facility: 89 cases
Lea County Correctional Facility: 146 cases
Northeast New Mexico Correctional Facility in Union County: 112 cases
Northwest New Mexico Correctional Center in Cibola County: 62 cases
Otero County Prison Facility: 473 cases
Penitentiary of New Mexico in Santa Fe County: 104 cases
Roswell Correctional Center: 223 cases
Southern New Mexico Correctional Facility in Doña Ana County: 167 cases
Springer Correctional Center in Colfax County: 2 cases
Western New Mexico Correctional Facility in Cibola County: 4 cases

 

 

Raw case growth vs. per capita growth

While the raw case count for each county is an important figure, it doesn't take into account the fact that New Mexico's population isn't evenly distributed throughout the state. For example, since Bernalillo County has (by far) more residents than any other county in the state, it tracks that Bernalilo would also have more confirmed COVID-19 cases than any other county.

Because of that, it's just as important to look at the per-capita case growth in NM counties, which illustrates below the number of new cases that each county reports per every 100,000 people that live in each county.



 

COVID-19 testing in New Mexico, by the day

As of December 1 there have been 1,579,759 tests conducted in New Mexico, resulting in a total of 99,419 positive cases in all 33 counties.



 

How NM stacks up to the rest of the U.S.

Here's how every state has fared so far in terms of new cases and tests per day. These lines have been smoothed out by using the seven-day rolling average for each metric.



As far as population-relative case growth, New Mexico ranks among the highest in the nation, with around 15,000 new confirmed cases per every million people over the past two weeks through December 1.

Throughout the pandemic, we've seen that New Mexico has returned one of the highest test density marks in the country while seeing a low percentage of positive tests.




 

How infectious is COVID-19?

The basic reproduction number (referred to as R₀ or R-naught) represents an estimate of the number of new infections created by every individual case of a given disease. COVID-19's virulence ranks similarly to that of Ebola, the 2003 SARS outbreak, HIV/AIDS and the flu.

An R₀ value of 1 or below suggests an illness which is expected to die out, while a value greater than 1 demonstrates an illness' ability to spread throughout a population. Current estimates of the R₀ of the coronavirus range from 1.5 to 3.5, though this number has varied as the situation has evolved.




Public health funding and COVID-19 prevalence


There are a number of ways to look at New Mexico's ability to respond to the pandemic, including public health funding. The United Health Foundation releases annual reports outlining each state's per capita public health funding, which it defines as being a two-year estimate of "state dollars dedicated to public health and federal dollars directed to states per person by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Health Resources and Services Administration."

In this regard, New Mexico's $220-per-person mark is the second highest in the nation. Paired with a (currently) below-average cases-per-million mark, New Mexico is in the lower risk tier when it comes to public health funding and COVID-19 prevalence.




This page will be updated daily as testing data continues to be reported.
Joe Rull is the data editor at the Daily Lobo. He can be contacted at data@dailylobo.com or on Twitter @rulljoe.