Check this page for the Daily Lobo's updated testing and confirmed case data for the COVID-19 outbreak in New Mexico, thanks to the COVID Tracking Project. This page will be updated daily as more data is produced and reported.

As of October 29, the NMDOH has reported 44,904 confirmed COVID-19 cases in New Mexico, including 994 deaths and 21,389 recoveries.

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Mapping the outbreak in New Mexico






 


The 'curve' in NM's counties

Mapping the cumulative growth of cases in the state on a logarithmic scale can help us visualize the famous 'curve'. The steeper the line, the more rapidly cases are being reported. A shallower, flatter line might suggest that the individual counties might be flattening their respective curves and mitigating the outbreak.





As of October 29, the New Mexico counties with confirmed COVID-19 cases are:
Bernalillo County: 11116 cases (5085 recoveries, 201 deaths)
Catron County: 10 cases (6 recoveries, 1 death)
Chaves County: 2066 cases (840 recoveries, 19 deaths)
Cibola County: 607 cases (309 recoveries, 22 deaths)
Colfax County: 45 cases (25 recoveries, 1 death)
Curry County: 1596 cases (652 recoveries, 12 deaths)
Doña Ana County: 6325 cases (2669 recoveries, 72 deaths)
Eddy County: 1505 cases (649 recoveries, 23 deaths)
Grant County: 191 cases (68 recoveries, 4 deaths)
Guadalupe County: 43 cases (30 recoveries, 1 death)
Harding County: 1 case (1 recovery, 0 deaths)
Hidalgo County: 122 cases (85 recoveries, 2 deaths)
Lea County: 2177 cases (1024 recoveries, 29 deaths)
Lincoln County: 384 cases (152 recoveries, 6 deaths)
Los Alamos County: 48 cases (25 recoveries, 0 deaths)
Luna County: 1082 cases (267 recoveries, 11 deaths)
McKinley County: 4674 cases (3131 recoveries, 261 deaths)
Otero County: 527 cases (155 recoveries, 13 deaths)
Quay County: 104 cases (61 recoveries, 2 deaths)
Rio Arriba County: 513 cases (304 recoveries, 15 deaths)
Roosevelt County: 469 cases (217 recoveries, 9 deaths)
Sandoval County: 2040 cases (1086 recoveries, 48 deaths)
San Juan County: 3805 cases (2865 recoveries, 204 deaths)
San Miguel County: 182 cases (87 recoveries, 0 deaths)
Santa Fe County: 1791 cases (833 recoveries, 13 deaths)
Sierra County: 116 cases (34 recoveries, 1 death)
Socorro County: 248 cases (87 recoveries, 11 deaths)
Taos County: 245 cases (104 recoveries, 5 deaths)
Torrance County: 100 cases (65 recoveries, 1 death)
Union County: 41 cases (20 recoveries, 2 deaths)
Valencia County: 1002 cases (448 recoveries, 5 deaths)

In addition, the NMDOH recently began reporting case totals from various prisons and holding centers independently from the counties where they reside. These cases include:

971 cases in federal agencies:
Otero County Processing Center (ICE facility in Otero County): 189 cases
Torrance County Detention Facility: 44 cases
Otero County Prison Facility: 390 cases
Cibola County Correctional Center: 348 cases


740 cases in New Mexico Corrections Department agencies:
Central New Mexico Correctional Facility in Valencia County: 92 cases
Otero County Prison Facility: 472 cases
Penitentiary of New Mexico in Santa Fe County: 1 case
Northwest New Mexico Correctional Center in Cibola County: 1 case
Lea County Correctional Facility: 110 cases
Western New Mexico Correctional Facility: 4 cases
Northeast New Mexico Correctional Facility: 5 cases
Southern New Mexico Correctional Facility in Doña Ana County 55 cases

 

 

Raw case growth vs. per capita growth

While the raw case count for each county is an important figure, it doesn't take into account the fact that New Mexico's population isn't evenly distributed throughout the state. For example, since Bernalillo County has (by far) more residents than any other county in the state, it tracks that Bernalilo would also have more confirmed COVID-19 cases than any other county.

Because of that, it's just as important to look at the per-capita case growth in NM counties, which illustrates below the number of new cases that each county reports per every 100,000 people that live in each county.



 

COVID-19 testing in New Mexico, by the day

As of October 29, there have been 1,153,185 tests conducted in New Mexico, resulting in a total of 44,904 positive cases in all 33 counties.



 

How NM stacks up to the rest of the U.S.

Here's how every state has fared so far in terms of new cases and tests per day. These lines have been smoothed out by using the seven-day rolling average for each metric.



As far as the population-relative density of positive cases go, New Mexico ranks toward the back of the pack, with around 21,000 confirmed cases per every million people as of October 29.

Throughout the pandemic, we've seen that New Mexico has returned one of the highest test density marks in the country while seeing a low percentage of positive tests.




 

How infectious is COVID-19?

The basic reproduction number (referred to as R₀ or R-naught) represents an estimate of the number of new infections created by every individual case of a given disease. COVID-19's virulence ranks similarly to that of Ebola, the 2003 SARS outbreak, HIV/AIDS and the flu.

An R₀ value of 1 or below suggests an illness which is expected to die out, while a value greater than 1 demonstrates an illness' ability to spread throughout a population. Current estimates of the R₀ of the coronavirus range from 1.5 to 3.5, though this number has varied as the situation has evolved.




Public health funding and COVID-19 prevalence


There are a number of ways to look at New Mexico's ability to respond to the pandemic, including public health funding. The United Health Foundation releases annual reports outlining each state's per capita public health funding, which it defines as being a two-year estimate of "state dollars dedicated to public health and federal dollars directed to states per person by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Health Resources and Services Administration."

In this regard, New Mexico's $220-per-person mark is the second highest in the nation. Paired with a (currently) below-average cases-per-million mark, New Mexico is in the lower risk tier when it comes to public health funding and COVID-19 prevalence.




This page will be updated daily as testing data continues to be reported.
Joe Rull is the data editor at the Daily Lobo. He can be contacted at data@dailylobo.com or on Twitter @rulljoe.